- cross-posted to:
- westvirginia@dubvee.org
- cross-posted to:
- westvirginia@dubvee.org
The thing is, Democrats have always had zero margin for error heading into 2024. Manchin was always unlikely to hang on to his seat. In West Virginia, the likely Republican candidate for Senate in 2024 is Jim Justice, the current governor of the state. Justice was elected governor as a Democrat, but switched parties at a Donald Trump rally in 2017, just a few months into his term, in one of the more pathetic “kiss the ring” maneuvers you will ever see from a full-grown adult. Manchin was most likely toast the minute Justice declared for the seat, and some polls have Justice beating Manchin by over 20 points.
Manchin was going to lose, and Democrats who hoped that he’d help them hang on to the Senate were simply fooling themselves. Frankly, instead of a conservative “Trump-lite” Democrat, the party should go find the most pro-abortion, pro-labor city commissioner in Wheeling and try to run a single-issue campaign on reproductive rights. That kind of candidate can lose just as hard as Manchin would have, but with a lot more dignity.
I’ll miss him running for senate 2 reasons:
First, sure, he isn’t likely to win, but you never know. Nov 2024 is a long way away.
Second, if he is running for senator, he isn’t running as a spoiler 3rd party candidate for president.
Yeah, but realistically, who wants him to run for president? He’s about as charismatic as Mike Pence and has no ideas that appeal to anyone enough that would pull them away from either Trump or Biden. He’s a fake centrist that just wants what’s best for the coal industry.
He’s also 1 year younger than Trump and 4 years younger than Biden. So just another old white guy.
People who like the second worst option.
FTA:
So even then, he’s likely to hurt Trump more than Biden as a political spoiler.