Given the current state of partisan polarization, it’s unlikely Biden can get majority job approval next year even with the most fortunate set of circumstances. But the good news for him is that he probably doesn’t have to. Job-approval ratings are crucial indicators in a normal presidential reelection cycle that is basically a referendum on the incumbent’s record. Assuming Trump is the Republican nominee, 2024 will not be a normal reelection cycle for three reasons.

  • givesomefucks@lemmy.world
    link
    fedilink
    English
    arrow-up
    11
    arrow-down
    3
    ·
    edit-2
    1 year ago

    Moderates are really really motivated to only be just slightly better than Republicans.

    They want to be as corporation/billionaire friendly as possible, so they get as many donations as possible.

    It’s why Hillary spent money, time, and effort boosting trump and Ben Carson in 2016. There wasn’t much difference between her and Jeb Bush, so she didn’t think she had a chance at beating him.

    The obvious risk was Hillary was/is a horrible candidate and might not have even been able to win against them, which she wasn’t.

    It’s like if the pitcher in a MLB game bet for his team to win, but by less than the spread. He still wants to win, but he keeps throwing softballs over the plate if he starts to win too much.

    But that’s just a game, this is literally playing with people’s lives.

    • chakan2@lemmy.world
      link
      fedilink
      English
      arrow-up
      5
      arrow-down
      1
      ·
      1 year ago

      But that’s just a game, this is literally playing with people’s lives.

      Welcome to US politics.

    • TheFonz@lemmy.world
      link
      fedilink
      arrow-up
      1
      arrow-down
      1
      ·
      1 year ago

      really motivated to only be just slightly better

      I could be wrong, but I think this impression comes because they are skewing more towards the mean or average, whereas on social media we are quite far left. So to us, they appear similar to republicans, because we as online users on Lemmy are quite far left. However, in reality Dems are quite left of Repubs… just not left enough from our point of view because they appeal to the mean American. Am I making sense? I don’t think I did a good job of explaining myself.