Overall, Mr. Trump led Mr. DeSantis 54 percent to 17 percent. No other candidate topped 3 percent support in the poll.
…
Mr. Trump’s grip on the Republican Party is so strong, the Times/Siena poll found, that in a head-to-head contest with Mr. DeSantis, Mr. Trump still received 22 percent among voters who believe he has committed serious federal crimes—a greater share than the 17 percent that Mr. DeSantis earned from the entire GOP electorate.
Trump has only 54% Republican support? And only 22% of Republicans who think he committed serious crimes? Those are, to me, surprisingly low numbers.
You’re thinking about the support figure wrong I think. 54% put him as the first choice. I very much doubt 46% of Republicans wouldn’t vote for him at all, he’s just not the top of their list.
As an aside I’d be surprised if a similar poll on the Dems side would have anyone over 30% support. Most would absolutely vote for Biden but he’s not many peoples first hand choice for president out of the potential candidates from the Dem side. Still might be the individual with most support though.
So, it’s not quite like the headline:
Trump has only 54% Republican support? And only 22% of Republicans who think he committed serious crimes? Those are, to me, surprisingly low numbers.
You’re thinking about the support figure wrong I think. 54% put him as the first choice. I very much doubt 46% of Republicans wouldn’t vote for him at all, he’s just not the top of their list.
As an aside I’d be surprised if a similar poll on the Dems side would have anyone over 30% support. Most would absolutely vote for Biden but he’s not many peoples first hand choice for president out of the potential candidates from the Dem side. Still might be the individual with most support though.
Your point is good about primary vs general voting, but 538 has a poll up for the Dems.
Only Biden and Kennedy are listed. It’s 65.1% to 14.9% respectively.
That’s how bad a candidate Kennedy is. But is also likely good news for keeping nut jobs out of the White House. A
Kennedy isn’t really a Dem candidate. Shame on 538 for helping give that billionaire funded spoiler campaign legitimacy.
That’s about 8 million people.
Out if curiosity, Wikipedia says the Nazi party was about 8.5 million.