• circuscritic@lemmy.ca
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    4 months ago

    You’re operating under the assumption that this “intelligence” is legitimate or being provided in good faith.

    If we accept that this intelligence even exists, there is a big difference between a state sanctioned plot, and signal intercepts between a couple hard-line officers blowing smoke up each other’s asses.

    All recent events show that Iran has consistently acted with restraint and moderation when dealing the theat of American military escalation.

    Color me skeptical that they would blow past all other major escalation paths, and skip straight to one that guarantees a multi-month long air campaign to flatten their entire country, followed by a ground invasion, and occupation.

    Iraq may have worked out strategically for Iran because of the cluster fuck that the occupation was, but that doesn’t mean they want that for themselves.