Rapidcreek@lemmy.world to politics @lemmy.world · 3 months agoTrump Allies Warn Him: Underestimate Kamala at Your Perilwww.rollingstone.comexternal-linkmessage-square22fedilinkarrow-up1212arrow-down18
arrow-up1204arrow-down1external-linkTrump Allies Warn Him: Underestimate Kamala at Your Perilwww.rollingstone.comRapidcreek@lemmy.world to politics @lemmy.world · 3 months agomessage-square22fedilink
minus-squareknightly the Sneptaur@pawb.sociallinkfedilinkarrow-up1arrow-down10·3 months agoNo, that’s accurate. Polls had Trump sweeping the swing states and we’ve known since 2015 that the Dems would have to drop the incumbent to stand a chance in 2024.
minus-squareInternetUser2012@lemmy.todaylinkfedilinkarrow-up5·3 months agoPolls mean soo much too, remember 2016?
minus-squareknightly the Sneptaur@pawb.sociallinkfedilinkarrow-up1arrow-down2·3 months agoI remember that the results were within the expected margin of error, and a lot of people being surprised about this for some reason.
minus-squareInternetUser2012@lemmy.todaylinkfedilinkarrow-up4arrow-down1·3 months agoYou aren’t remembering correctly then.
minus-squareknightly the Sneptaur@pawb.sociallinkfedilinkarrow-up1arrow-down1·edit-23 months agoThat hack was popular, but not a good analyst: https://www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/2017/05/04/qa-political-polls-and-the-2016-election/ Not only were the national polls within 2% of the final total, the last series of state polls going into election day had a very obvious trend line:
minus-squareInternetUser2012@lemmy.todaylinkfedilinkarrow-up1·3 months agoSo what you’re saying is almost like polls don’t really matter, thanks for proving my point.
minus-squareknightly the Sneptaur@pawb.sociallinkfedilinkarrow-up1·3 months agoOf course the polls don’t matter. National elections don’t even matter. But that’s no excuse for being surprised about the results.
minus-squareRestrictedAccount@lemmy.worldlinkfedilinkarrow-up2·3 months agoDo you risk your devices by clicking on “polling texts” or talk to pollsters?
minus-squareknightly the Sneptaur@pawb.sociallinkfedilinkarrow-up2·3 months agoI’ve talked to pollsters on occasion, but I don’t click on any sus links or tolerate sms fundraising.
No, that’s accurate. Polls had Trump sweeping the swing states and we’ve known since 2015 that the Dems would have to drop the incumbent to stand a chance in 2024.
Polls mean soo much too, remember 2016?
I remember that the results were within the expected margin of error, and a lot of people being surprised about this for some reason.
You aren’t remembering correctly then.
That hack was popular, but not a good analyst:
https://www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/2017/05/04/qa-political-polls-and-the-2016-election/
Not only were the national polls within 2% of the final total, the last series of state polls going into election day had a very obvious trend line:
So what you’re saying is almost like polls don’t really matter, thanks for proving my point.
Of course the polls don’t matter. National elections don’t even matter. But that’s no excuse for being surprised about the results.
Do you risk your devices by clicking on “polling texts” or talk to pollsters?
I’ve talked to pollsters on occasion, but I don’t click on any sus links or tolerate sms fundraising.