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  • whofearsthenight@lemm.eeEnglish
    6·
    1 year ago

    It’s just Trump. None of the others in the primary are even close. There are really two things to be concerned about:

    1. Enough people vote for Trump even though at this point he’s probably been sentenced, which I thinks is pretty unlikely given that he already lost to Biden and incumbents rarely lose. The ones that lost in the last 40 years have been Republicans.
    2. Vivek. He’s enough of an outsider and flips like Simone Biles. He’s also the most reasonable counter to the primary argument against Biden - age. That said, in a general I really doubt he’s got a real shot.
      • whofearsthenight@lemm.eeEnglish
        2·
        1 year ago

        Yeah, I think you’re right. He just over-performed in the last debate, and were republicans at all logically consistent he’d probably be their pick and I think he actually has a shot at winning over some independents and Dems that aren’t paying attention. That said, Republicans obviously aren’t consistent and that slipped my mind for a sec lol.

    • limelight79@lemm.ee
      3·
      1 year ago

      My prediction: Trump wins the nomination, and DeSantis starts his own party and siphons Republican votes, ala Ross Perot. (Or the reverse, Trump loses the nomination and starts his own party and siphons R votes.)