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Cake day: June 16th, 2023

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  • Abstract

    The historical association of time with the rotation of Earth has meant that Coordinated Universal Time (UTC) closely follows this rotation1. Because the rotation rate is not constant, UTC contains discontinuities (leap seconds), which complicates its use in computer networks2. Since 1972, all UTC discontinuities have required that a leap second be added3. Here we show that increased melting of ice in Greenland and Antarctica, measured by satellite gravity4,5, has decreased the angular velocity of Earth more rapidly than before. Removing this effect from the observed angular velocity shows that since 1972, the angular velocity of the liquid core of Earth has been decreasing at a constant rate that has steadily increased the angular velocity of the rest of the Earth. Extrapolating the trends for the core and other relevant phenomena to predict future Earth orientation shows that UTC as now defined will require a negative discontinuity by 2029. This will pose an unprecedented problem for computer network timing and may require changes in UTC to be made earlier than is planned. If polar ice melting had not recently accelerated, this problem would occur 3 years earlier: global warming is already affecting global timekeeping.








  • Dude, that was just an example she made. There are so many fears he controlled in the last 10 years. How many microtargeted messages over facebook did putins trollfactories and Cambridge Analytica transmissioned? You have to understand that it goes down to the fears of single persons. Someone is afraid of foreigners and immigrants, there was a playbook and memes for these people. You have the fear of economical outlook, there was a folder with images to post for that. Your fear is democrats in the white house? Fear of black people looting cities? Caravans at the border? Socialists in the Government? President takes away your guns? Homosexuals? Nuclear War? There was a playbook do target all these people to cook a vast part of the society crazy and made them afraid of their own fears coming true - even if reality was not like that and they were concerted fed confirmation bias by anecdotal evidence, but amplified.


  • Transscript:

    We have heard from Vladimir Putin if there is this continued strength in the war in Ukraine if the U.S. and all the countries continue to contribute, he has continued to raise the possibility of a nuclear threat. Is that one that you take seriously or worried about?

    [Kallas] Of course, we have to take everything seriously, what he says. He has been threatening with the nuclear war for quite some time, but it has been only words. He’s very good in sowing fear within our societies and really listening what we are afraid of and giving you the fears that you have, [ okay, you are afraid of the nuclear war, so I’m giving out this kind of signals and the public goes, oh wow, we can’t do that. It is a trap, a trap of self deterrence, ] because if we are afraid, then we start to self-deter, and that is what Putin wants. [ So we also have to think what Putin is afraid of, and he is actually afraid of going to war with NATO. So he doesn’t want that, and we of course don’t want that either, but it is to understand the messages that he’s giving out ] so that we would be afraid and refrain from the decisions that we would otherwise make.

    Emphasis mine.







  • They learned from russia. It was a big failure the amass thousands of soliders and equipment near the border to ukraine in Oct/Nov 2021 and claim “it’s just a exercise”. Nobody believed that, as there were no exercises of that size in the past with that structure. China knows they have to hold drills for a plausible deniability on troops and equipment in the region, or they want to have a successfull first strike opportunity. Not having drills and equipment in the region will raise alarms when they suddenly move it there.

    To dampen the war drums: On the other side, china needs the drills. China had not fought a war for 50 years. You have to realize that literally none of their generals to soldiers currently in position have ever fought in a real war. Their only experience are their drills. So maybe it is just gesture or actual training. We will know when they will try to hongkong the Taiwanese island.