Flight path of a plane that took off from Damascus shorty after news broke that Assad left the city towards unknown destination, which might have been Latakia on Syrian coast which is still under SAA control as of now. Terrain in place where flightradar stopped tracking that plane isn’t especially suited for emergency landing

Shortly after crash Syrian Army Command informs officers about fall of the regime https://xcancel.com/Alhadath_Brk/status/1865587913817305454#m

update: it’s not spoofed transponder data or controlled landing, locals reported plane crash in the area. rumors so far, but dawn will break soon in Syria and we’ll know https://xcancel.com/Schizointel/status/1865593800678130081#m

clarification: there’s some chance that Assad went out of Damascus before on other, private jet, so it’s not sure and it’s all conjecture on unproven information

update 2: there’s a claim by Russian media that Assad is in Moscow, so he would have to flee on some earlier plane, but no photos as of now. Still, looked mildly credible at the time

          • Shit@sh.itjust.worksMEnglish
            0·
            17 days ago

            I have no idea. It was titled something like “rebels take over Damascus airport”. Then I went on flight radar and saw the airplane taking off with no destination set.

            I can’t verify how “real” it is other than I saw it on social media right before that airplane took off and saved it. Everything today moved pretty quickly.

            Personally I don’t think Assad was on that flight.

              • Shit@sh.itjust.worksMEnglish
                0·
                17 days ago

                I think he left Damascus before homs fell.

                The military didn’t really seem like they wanted to fight for a dictator that already abdicated his throne.

                I think we just get to wait and see. 🙈

          • NoneOfUrBusiness@fedia.io
            0·
            17 days ago

            I’m an Arabic speaker and I have no idea; it’s too lacking in context to understand what he’s talking about. He keeps saying “look at this machine”, then starts walking and says “look at these people. We said the airport was friendly and no one believed us”. There are also a few interjections that don’t carry much meaning, but that’s the gist of it.

  • Lupus@feddit.orgEnglish
    0·
    17 days ago

    Honestly guys, it’s not the first time I got breaking world news from this community and I am disappointed, I thought this was non-credible?

  • Minarble@aussie.zoneEnglish
    0·
    17 days ago

    Can we speed run the Russsian collapse as well?

    It’s going to shit me if Putin falls on the 22nd Jan so the orange boofhead can claim the credit.

      • Minarble@aussie.zoneEnglish
        0·
        17 days ago

        Probably both he usually takes both sides on every issue at some point.

        At least the balkanisation and collapse of Russia will be a simple thing for such a stable genius to manage.

    • Delphia@lemmy.worldEnglish
      0·
      16 days ago

      My conspiracy theory is that Trump will “Talk tough” to Putin and “tell him” to back off and take only “minor” concessions to end the war. He gets to claim that he ended it, look how strong and diplomatic he can be. Putin will spin it differently back home, nobody will buy it but nobody will care because the sanctions will be lifted and money will start flowing.

      The Ukraine wont get NATO admission, the US will block it but they will be a whole lot better off than if Trump just removed all US support and the bombing will stop so they wont like it, but the alternative is losing the whole country.

  • TheTechnician27@lemmy.worldEnglish
    0·
    17 days ago

    There’s no evidence this was Assad (and the flight path directly over Homs instead of e.g. into Iraq makes it implausible), but it seems like it was almost definitely a plane crash.

    • skillissuer@discuss.tchncs.deOPMEnglish
      0·
      17 days ago

      i understand that he tried to get to Latakia, which is beyond mountain range and still SAA held at that time

      Dawn just broke in Syria so we’ll know today

    • skillissuer@discuss.tchncs.deOPMEnglish
      0·
      17 days ago

      Buk (TEL) lacks a radar. Pantsir or MANPADS lacks range (7km altitude give or take). Either they networked radar to Buk, or made these super old S75 work, or planted bomb onboard like with Prigozhin, or something else. It’s also possible that F35 sneaked around and took it down with A2A missile, not that we’ll ever see it

  • Blackmist@feddit.ukEnglish
    0·
    16 days ago

    Russia claim he’s already in Russia, but I’ve seen no footage of him yet. It’s entirely possible he’s in the wreckage.

  • Lambda@lemmy.caEnglish
    0·
    17 days ago

    One of the rare cases where I hear of a death and check wikipedia to still see the word “is”. I wonder how long confirmation will take.

      • Lupus@feddit.orgEnglish
        0·
        17 days ago

        German Wikipedia already has past tense and a small paragraph about Assad leaving the country for an unknown location.

        • BigDanishGuy@sh.itjust.worksEnglish
          0·
          17 days ago

          Is it sourced properly? Because killing people on wikipedia without sources isn’t helping wikipedia’s credibility.

          • Gurfaild@feddit.orgEnglish
            0·
            17 days ago

            At least the current version of the article uses past tense when referring to his presidency but doesn’t claim he’s dead.

    • annHowe@lemmy.zipEnglish
      0·
      16 days ago

      I hope he doesn’t get the chance to abscond and is held accountable for his crimes. Not likely to happen but one can dream.

    • uis@lemm.eeEnglish
      0·
      15 days ago

      No! No. No-no-no. Take him and Putin as a gift. Volodin says Putin is national treasure.

  • Milk_Sheikh@lemm.eeEnglish
    0·
    17 days ago

    You know when NCD has actual writeups and citations shit is getting real. Getting Wagner coup vibes, what a time to be alive where we can glimpse into the sausage of geopolitics being made in real time.