• Dr. Dabbles@lemmy.world
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    1 year ago

    Declining downloads simply means a slowing of growth, whereas this is claiming a user decline. That only shows up in traffic logs, transit commits, or CDN account usage data.

    • PaleRider@feddit.uk
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      1 year ago

      Not necessarily.

      Every time someone buys a new device they have to reinstall the app. So declining downloads could be indicitive of less users.

      • hoshikarakitaridia@sh.itjust.works
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        1 year ago

        Yeah and also, in capitalism, if a company ceases to grow, there’s a good chance it will vaporize soon after. It’s not a causation, but it’s a notable correlation.

        • RocketBoots@programming.dev
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          1 year ago

          Yup! There are people out there with big pockets watching for stats much subtler than this. It doesn’t always mean much taken on its own, but as a whole can paint an interesting picture.

          • nilloc@discuss.tchncs.de
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            1 year ago

            whole can paint an interesting picture.

            I know there’s meant to be a comma after ‘whole’. But I just pictured someone dumping a whole can of paint on a canvas and yelling “time!” Before walking over and slapping it on an easel at an auction and selling it for millions, while still dripping.

      • Dr. Dabbles@lemmy.world
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        1 year ago

        Phone replacement is a high seasonality situation. CDN usage and access logs will absolutely show whether usage has declined or not. Release an iPhone and you see a major spike in new downloads, otherwise it’s probably all pretty much background noise.

        My guess is everything involving Twitter has been on a decline, and the things I did know I’m not able to share.

    • RocketBoots@programming.dev
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      1 year ago

      I see what you mean. The other day I was submitting a change request to my grafana server and noticed an issue. When I RDPed into the VM running it I noticed that despite no issues present on our dashboard, we had an emergency on our hands. There was an insane amount of mDNS hits from an address I’ve never seen. Most of them being made to Google IPs. The assumption we made was that something in our cluster had been misconfigured.

      I think it’s an example that deserves comparison here.